Jose Mourinho from game one to game 1000


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History was made with Roma’s 2-1 win against Sassuolo at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday night.

In an extremely entertaining and end-to-end game, Jose Mourinho’s Roma managed to beat a plucky Sassuolo. The result was largely down to the goalkeeping heroics of Rui Patricio, a well-worked free-kick routine from Lorenzo Pellegrini and Bryan Cristante, and Stephan El Shaarawy’s clinical 91st-minute winner.

While securing the three points was important for Roma’s title charge, it was more significant for Mourinho: it was the Portuguese’s 1,000th game in charge.

“During the week I lied to myself, I lied when I said it wasn’t a special game,” Mourinho told DAZN after the match, “but I tried to persuade myself it was special, that it was a big number for me and I’ll definitely always remember my 1,000th game. I didn’t want to remember it as a defeat, I was terribly afraid of having that memory for eternity.”

These were three points that meant a lot more, a sentiment evident on Mourinho’s celebrations at his side’s late winner. “Today I’m not 58, I’m 10 or 11. This is what you dream about when you start out in football. The run? It was the run a child makes.”

Defeat certainly would have soured the occasion, but perhaps there were greater forces at play on the Special One’s big day. “Tiago, our sporting director, told me justice was done because the God of Football would not allow Mourinho not to win his 1,000th game. And maybe he was right.”

Mourinho joins the likes of his old rivals Alex Ferguson and Arsene Wenger, his old master Bobby Robson and compatriot Fernando Santos, all of whom have hit the same milestone. Of managers to reach 1,000 games in the post-war era, his win rate of 63.8 per cent tops all of them.

Over the course of his time at Benfica, Uniao de Leiria, Porto, both stints at Chelsea, Inter Milan, Real Madrid, Manchester United, Tottenham and now Roma there’s very little Mourinho hasn’t seen. He’s been victorious in 638 games, drawn 205 and tasted defeat 157 times.

Putting Mourinho’s results, teams and players under the microscope in the past 1,000 games, there’s a lot to learn…


Results

Mourinho’s career started off under the wing of two of the most famous managers in European football history. Following various roles with Vitoria de Setubal, Estrela and Ovarense, he became Bobby Robson’s translator-cum-assistant at Sporting at 29. After Robson’s sacking 18 months into the job, he took Mourinho with him to Porto in 1994, and again to Barcelona in 1996.

Robson vacated the head coach job at Barcelona to become their director of football and was replaced by Louis van Gaal, with Mourinho staying on as an assistant manager. Together, they won La Liga in back-to-back seasons, a side featuring the likes of Rivaldo, Luis Figo and Luis Enrique.

Then came Mourinho’s first crack at management with Benfica back in his native Portugal. It was a short-lived spell, lasting just nine league games from September to December in 2000, coming to a swift end as a result of club politics, rather than results.

The results themselves, though, were a mixed bag. During his Benfica tenure his win rate was 54.5 per cent, the third-lowest of his career across all nine clubs that he’s managed, but a figure in line with where Mourinho was at in his managerial journey at the time, and the state of the Benfica squad that he inherited.

Mourinho’s best win rate at a single club is his time at Real Madrid, where he won 128 of his 178 matches in charge, a smidgen better than his time at Porto, a club whose fortunes he swiftly turned around.

There’s a narrative that fits cleanly with Mourinho’s win rates per club. At the beginning of his career, he’s finding his feet, recording so-so results with Benfica and Leiria. He then turns Porto into a domestic superpower, winning six trophies in three seasons, and similar levels of success come at Chelsea and Inter.

His results record at Real was fantastic, but ultimately he did not win enough of the games that mattered. He won a La Liga title, Copa del Rey and Spanish Super Cup, a relatively small haul given the amount of talent in the squad at the time. And recent seasons at Manchester United and Tottenham were poor by his previous standards, questioning Mourinho’s ability to change with the times.

Looking at the individual seasons Mourinho has managed, the 2011-12 campaign with Real Madrid was his best, winning 46 of the 58 games played in all competitions. Mourinho’s well-documented third-season “dip” is visible in this table too, with his win rate dropping off at the end of his tenure at each of his longer club stints.

Using ClubElo — a measure of team quality based on results and taking into account goal difference, home-field advantage and inter-league adjustments — it’s possible to look at how Mourinho’s results changed across each team over time.

Notably, Mourinho’s early career saw periods of rapid improvement for Leiria, Porto and Chelsea. He also greatly improved Real Madrid and Manchester United at the beginning of his tenure with each side, before things turned sour later on.

Overall though, perhaps with the exceptions of his second stint at Chelsea and time at Tottenham (the latter saw their rating dip marginally), Mourinho has left every club he’s been at in a better state than when he found it.

It’s also possible to use the ClubElo values from individual games to calculate the most and least likely wins and losses.

The ClubElo system works by each team putting a portion of their own rating up for grabs when facing off against another, with the team that wins the game taking the overall pot of points that were at risk.

Teams that are big favourites for a game stand to gain very little from it, with their opponent offering up few points. The minnows stand to gain a lot though if they can cause an upset, gaining plenty of points by securing an unlikely result.

Looking at the biggest swings in Elo both for and against Mourinho’s teams across his career can show which of these bets he was least or most likely to win, and highlight some of his more impressive victories.

The table below shows one game per club in which Mourinho has gained the most ClubElo points, either being the most surprising wins or most comprehensive result.

The majority of these results come away from home, as away games at non-neutral venues are the toughest to win on average. Mourinho’s 2-0 away victory with Porto after extra time away to Panathinaikos remains one of his best-ever results according to ClubElo, leading to a UEFA Cup semi-final against Lazio, a final against Celtic and, eventually, the first of four European trophies (so far).

The 6-1 result against Manchester United scored Tottenham a lot of ClubElo points, but given the circumstances that the game played out in, (Anthony Martial was sent off in the 28th minute with the match at 2-1), this result is perhaps a little less surprising.

In terms of defeats, Chelsea’s 3-0 loss away to Middlesbrough in 2006 is by far the biggest from a Mourinho side (ClubElo only takes league and European games into account) a sentiment that Mourinho himself agreed with after the match.

“When you lose, it is always a bad day, especially when you don’t lose a lot. In my time at Chelsea, this is the third defeat in the Premiership and you can say it was the worst.”

Notably, a lot of the worst results here are away from home and are due to Mourinho’s side losing by multiple goals. The worst result by a Mourinho side in the last decade was the 3-0 away defeat against Dinamo Zagreb, a result which dumped Tottenham out of the Europa League last season.

This was as humbling a defeat as any for Mourinho, saying after the game: “I feel sorry that my team is the team that didn’t bring to the game not just the basics of football but the basics of life, which is to respect our jobs and to give everything.”

Mourinho himself will likely care little about the biggest wins and losses though. Rightly or wrongly, his legacy to many will be defined by the size of his trophy cabinet, and how full it is.

The bulk of his trophy haul so far came between 2002 and 2013, with 2007-08 at Chelsea — his fourth year at the club, in which he lasted just eight games — the only time he finished empty-handed in that time.

With life at Roma starting off well, Mourinho’s disciples will hope that it can translate into some sort of silverware this season. The last time he won anything was in 2016-17 — the infamous “treble” at Manchester United of the Europa League, League Cup and Community Shield — and failure to win anything this season would extend the longest trophy-less run of his career.


Teams

Mourinho’s achievements and results records are nothing without the players who played under him. All in, there are 383 who’ve played across all competitions.

Some, such as John Swift and Andre Vilas Boas (not to be confused with Mourinho’s coaching protege Andre Villas-Boas), amassed just a single minute of playing time. Others, like Ricardo Carvalho and Paulo Ferreira played for their compatriot for 10 and six seasons respectively.

Starting at Benfica, Mourinho wasn’t blessed with the most talented squad, but there are some notable names. The late Robert Enke was his goalkeeper of choice, just 23 years old at the time. In defence, the Spaniard Carlos Marchena featured in his only season for Os Encarnados (the reds) before moving to Valencia, a club where he played 230 times and won two La Liga titles. Former Celtic and Nottingham Forest striker Pierre van Hooijdonk featured up front.

The most notable name though is Maniche in midfield. The young Portuguese is the first player that Mourinho encountered that would play for him several times, playing for him at Porto in 2002-03 and 2003-04 and also on loan at Chelsea in the second half of the season in their 2005-06 league-winning campaign.

Next in Mourinho’s journey was his time at Leiria, who he joined in July 2001. He would pick up defender Nuno Valente, formerly of Everton, midfielder Tiago (not to be confused with Chelsea and Atletico Madrid midfielder Tiago Mendes) and Brazilian striker Derlei and take them to Porto with him.

By the time Mourinho had won the title in 2002-03 with Porto — his first as a manager — he had assembled some of the best talent in Portugal. Paulo Ferreira was Mr Reliable at right-back, with Deco pulling strings in midfield. Up front, a young Helder Postiga featured heavily as did Derlei, whom Mourinho had bought with him from Leiria.

And the 2003-04 squad which won the league, Champions League and Portuguese Super Cup featured some new faces. South African Benni McCarthy (who joined the club after a successful loan from Celta Vigo in which he scored 12 goals in 11 starts), Sergio Conceicao (the current manager of Porto) and Jose Bosingwa (who went on to play for Chelsea and QPR in the Premier League) all featured.

McCarthy was a big part of the club’s success. Looking at data on fbref, he managed to score 24 goals in the league and Champions League in 2,642 minutes in 2003-04, which equates to roughly 0.82 goals per 90, not far off a goal every game.

Following the heights of Mourinho’s success at Porto, a move to Chelsea beckoned. In a summer of great investment by Roman Abramovich, Chelsea signed Ferreira and Carvalho from Porto, Tiago Mendes from Benfica alongside Petr Cech, Didier Drogba, Arjen Robben and several others.

As a collective, they formed the best defence of any Mourinho team ever, conceding just 15 goals in the Premier League, and across all competitions averaged just over a goal every two games.

The Inter side that won Mourinho back-to-back Serie A titles in 2009 and 2010 was full of experience throughout the team. Specifically, the 2009-10 side, Mourinho’s second and final season. In goal was 29-year-old Julio Cesar, with Francesco Toldo and Paolo Orlandoni his two 37-year-old back-ups.

At the back, there was a ton of veteran talent too. Lucio joined in 2009-10 to play a single season under Mourinho and he split minutes with Walter Samuel, Ivan Cordoba, Javier Zanetti and Marco Materazzi.

The names don’t stop in midfield either. Wesley Sneijder and Thiago Motta joined from Real Madrid and Genoa respectively, giving an injection of youth into a midfield anchored by Patrick Vieira and Dejan Stankovic, 33 and 30 respectively.

The forward line hosted an embarrassment of riches too. Mario Balotelli and Marko Arnautovic were youngsters finding their feet in the game, with the likes of Goran Pandev, Samuel Eto’o and Diego Milito to look up to.

Following his successful stint at the Nerazzurri, Mourinho moved to Real Madrid, a team with an even greater group of players. In his first summer, Real invested in Mesut Ozil, Angel Di Maria, Sami Khedira, with Ricardo Carvalho following from Chelsea, beginning his third stint with Mourinho.

Given the volume of attacking talent that Mourinho had at his disposal, the numbers that they were able to put up during his tenure are not surprising. Overall they averaged 2.67 goals per game across all competitions, markedly better than Mourinho’s second-best attacking team, Porto.

After returning to Chelsea in 2013-14, Mourinho was reunited with Cech, John Terry and John Mikel Obi, who had all featured fairly heavily for Mourinho in the last two years of his first stint at the club. Also on Chelsea’s books at the time were some of the best attacking players in the world today: Mohamed Salah, Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku and Eden Hazard.

Of those, only Hazard featured for a notable amount of minutes. Salah, De Bruyne and Lukaku combined for just 674 minutes between them.

Mourinho’s title-winning 2014-15 team featured plenty of new faces. Club legends Ashley Cole, Frank Lampard and Michael Essien all left the club after the previous season, alongside Lukaku and De Bruyne who had limited opportunities to play. There was a return to the club for Didier Drogba too, who scored four goals in eight league starts in his final season at Stamford Bridge.

The title led to Mourinho getting a fresh four-year contract, but with results particularly poor at the start of the 2015-16 season he left the club in December 2015. Mourinho soon moved to Manchester United in May 2016, and in 2016-17 he won the “treble” of the League Cup, the Europa League and the Community Shield.

Many of the players who he managed at United were new to him. Only Juan Mata, from his second stint at Chelsea, and Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who scored 25 goals in Mourinho’s first Serie A title campaign in 2008-09, were players he had worked with before.

And it was at Manchester United where Mourinho fielded his youngest starting 11 ever, with an average age of just 22.4 years. The team comprised of Joel Pereira in goal (20), Demetri Mitchell (20) and Timothy Fosu-Mensah (19) at full-back with Eric Bailly (23) and Phil Jones (25) between them at centre-back. In midfield, it was a trio of Axel Tuanzebe (19), Paul Pogba (24) and Scott McTominay (20). Up front, Josh Harrop (21), Jesse Lingard (24) and Wayne Rooney (31).

That’s a team roughly eight years younger than his oldest side back at Inter, who faced Parma in the league in October 2010, where the youngest player on the pitch was 26-year-old Goran Pandev, who is still turning out for Genoa at the age of 38.

Formation-wise, Mourinho has always looked to use a couple of formations per club, often employing both during training and within matches. At Porto he would often adopt a 4-3-3, switching to a 4-4-2 diamond. At Chelsea, the diamond was usually the starting formation, switching to a 4-3-3 when required.

At Inter, he also employed the diamond a lot, but it was then when he really started to utilise a 4-2-3-1 often, a formation with offers plenty of defensive cover with a double pivot, but also enough attackers going forwards to threaten the opposition.

All in, Mourinho’s most common formation is 4-2-3-1, something he used near-exclusively at Tottenham and in every game so far as Roma manager.

Notably, Mourinho has never been much of a proponent of three at the back, using it only in certain games to neutralise the threat of the opposition. Last season when manager of Tottenham, he used it effectively away to Sheffield United, aiming to reduce the threat of the overlapping full-backs by pushing Tottenham’s own wing-backs higher.

For now though, 4-2-3-1 remains Mourinho’s default way of playing.


Players

The final part of Mourinho’s 1,000-piece puzzle is the performances of the individual players under him. Data for that is relatively sparse, but it’s possible to look at the top scorers and assisters under Mourinho, and his most-played team too.

Starting with the scorers, Cristiano Ronaldo was extremely prolific under Mourinho, scoring 168 goals across all competitions in just three seasons. Given the minutes he played, that translated to 1.06 goals per 90, undoubtedly one of the best goalscoring rates of any striker ever across a three-year period.

The rest of the list is quite fun. Carlos Vinicius, Mourinho’s Europa League hitman last season at Tottenham, just makes the game-time threshold, scoring plenty of goals in a handful of minutes. Loic Remy and Gareth Bale are a couple of players who, like Vinicius, excelled under Mourinho in a small sample of minutes.

In terms of top assisters, Deco was a prolific creator for Mourinho, notching 65 assists in all games in three seasons under him at Porto, slightly ahead of Mesut Ozil’s rate of 0.64 per 90 at Real Madrid. Among the list are plenty of traditional creative types — Kaka, Cesc Fabregas, Wesley Sneijder — but the name that is most eyebrow-raising is that of Cesar Peixoto, who played well in a small sample of minutes but went on to have a fairly unspectacular career in his native Portugal.

Considering all of the players who have played the most minutes for Mourinho, it’s possible to look at his most-used starting XIs. The team below is of all Mourinho’s most-used players based on minutes in all competitions across all of his club stints.

The places for Ferreira, Carvalho, Terry and Cech are pretty much guaranteed given how much time Mourinho has either spent at their respective clubs, or how many times he’s moved the players with him.

The places for Marcus Rashford and Khedira are perhaps a little more surprising, given Rashford’s young age when Mourinho was manager of Manchester United, and Khedira’s injury record.

One thousand games down and Mourinho is off to a flyer at Roma so far. Whether he can end his current trophy drought remains to be seen, but history tells us that he’ll leave Roma in a better position than he’s found them, he’s going to play 4-2-3-1 and there’s unlikely to be a dull moment.

(Top photos: Getty Images; design: Sam Richardson)

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